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Research design

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Quantitative methods with hypothesis testing are designed around the principles of critical rationalism (Karl Popper). This philosophical position states that theory can never be finally verified but only falsified.

Descriptive statistics can only describe the sample as a subset of the population. Inferential statistics draws conclusions about the population based on the sample.

Research Design

Decision Tree ## Observational

Descriptive character, suitable for forming hypotheses (but not optimal for testing a hypothesis)

Cross Sectional Study (e.g. Survey)

  • no group comparison
  • e.g. “Quality of Life of Master Students”

Correlational Study

  • no group comparison
  • e.g. “Time spent on self-study and general quality of life correlate.”

Analytical study

  • group comparison
  • Identification and quantification of effects / verification of relationships
  • Not fully suitable for hypothesis testing
Example: Cohort Study

Multiple cohorts (group of people with comparable inital conditions) are observed. One cohort is exposed to certain factors. Cohorts are compared after

  • Smoking and Alzheimers

Cohort Study

Cohort Study

Case Control Study
  • Retrospective comparing cases with controls (self-reports?)

Case Control

Case Control

Other Forms

  • Cross-over design: during study treatment and control switches
    • used in randomized and non-ramdomized (quasi)
  • Before / After comparison
  • Longitudinal studies:
    • Trend study: different times with diff. samples
    • Panel study: different times with same sample

Variance as basic concept

  • Primary variance:
    • Impact of (experimental) factors on the change / variantion of the output
  • Secondary variance:
    • Variation of output caused by nuisance variables
  • Error variance:
    • caused by measurement errors and random processes

Variance

Variance

Experimental Design

Example: determine which variables have an influence on petrol consumption.

One-Factor-at-a-time (OFAT)

Full factorial designs

Fractional factorial designs

Quality criteria of experiments

Internal Validity

  • is essential condition for external validity.
  • Changes in dependent variable clearly attributable to changes in independent variables.
  • Increases with decreasing impact of nuisance variables (Quasi-Exp -> Experiment).

External validity

  • Results of experiment can be generalized to population
  • increases with increasing naturalness (laboratory -> field)
  • high internal validity can be problematic for external validity (labor vs. field)
Population validity
  • selection of representative sample
Situation validity
  • generalizable to situations deviating from experiment (ecological validity)
Construct validity
  • adequate operationalization of latent variable (construct)

Sampling

Lecture 05

Sample Size, Power, Effect Size

Lecture 06

ANOVA

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OLIVER ZINGG

Psychologist and data scientist in Zürich. I design the study, model the data and explain what it means.

STATUS
Open to full-time data science roles from January 2027
NOW
Working student, data science & project management at Zurich Insurance (since Nov 2025)
THESIS
M.Sc. thesis (HSLU): leveraging double machine learning for robust decision-making, due December 2026
EDUCATION
M.Sc. Psychology (UZH, 5.6) · M.Sc. Applied Information & Data Science (HSLU, Dec 2026)
TOOLS
R, Python, SQL, Matlab · Power BI, Tableau · mixed models, ML, BERTopic

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